{"id":1117,"date":"2008-11-02T14:05:20","date_gmt":"2008-11-02T21:05:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=1117"},"modified":"2008-11-02T14:12:29","modified_gmt":"2008-11-02T21:12:29","slug":"pundits-make-electoral-college-vote-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=1117","title":{"rendered":"Pundits Make Electoral College Vote Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the 2008 campaign winds to close, the pundit class is weighing with their electoral vote calls. It&#8217;s bad news for John McCain when everyone is predicting a Barack Obama win and the Republicans give Obama bigger victory margins than the Democrats. Below are the predicted Electoral College votes for Obama (270 needed to win).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Democrats:<\/strong><br \/>\nArianna Huffington: 318<br \/>\nPaul Begala: 325<br \/>\nHilary Rosen: 333<br \/>\nDonna Brazile: 343<br \/>\nEleanor Clift: 349<br \/>\nJames Carville: 365<br \/>\n<em>Democratic Average: 338.8<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Republicans:<\/strong><br \/>\nAlex Castellanos: 318<br \/>\nMatthew Dowd: 338<br \/>\nEd Rollins: 352<br \/>\nGeorge Will: 378<br \/>\n<em>Republican Average: 346.5<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Media<\/strong><br \/>\nChris Cillizza, Washington Post: 312<br \/>\nCraig Crawford, Congressional Quarterly: 333<br \/>\nDavid Gergen, CNN: 338<br \/>\nMark Halperin, Time Magazine: 349<br \/>\nGeorge Stephanopoulos, ABC: 353<br \/>\nLarry Sabato, UVA: 364<br \/>\n<em>Media Average: 341.5<\/em><\/p>\n<p>If you exempt McCain campaign operatives and rightist pod-people like Hannity, O&#8217;Reilly and Limbaugh, there are few Republican advocates expressing much hope. Last week Fox News Executive VP <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=1106\" target=\"_blank\">John Moody pronounced<\/a> McCain&#8217;s campaign over. Even <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=930\" target=\"_blank\">Rupert Murdoch predicted<\/a> a landslide victory for Obama way back in May.<\/p>\n<p>Are Republicans in some sort of shock? What does it mean when uber-conservative George Will puts Obama in landslide territory and suggests a stronger outcome for Obama than Democratic icon James Carville? Maybe it doesn&#8217;t mean a thing. Most of these people are wrong more often that not, so we shouldn&#8217;t put too much emphasis on what they are saying today. Still, it will be interesting to store this for future reference to see how these predictions compare with the actual results.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the 2008 campaign winds to close, the pundit class is weighing with their electoral vote calls. It&#8217;s bad news for John McCain when everyone is predicting a Barack Obama win and the Republicans give Obama bigger victory margins than the Democrats. Below are the predicted Electoral College votes for Obama (270 needed to win). [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[152,1],"tags":[183,1140,103,30],"class_list":["post-1117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election","category-general","tag-barack-obama","tag-election","tag-john-mccain","tag-rupert-murdoch"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Ijg-i1","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":20014,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=20014","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":0},"title":"FEAR FRACTURE: Republicans Are Lying About Impeachment. Here&#8217;s Proof","author":"Mark NC","date":"7\/29\/2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Republicans in Congress are backpedaling furiously on their years-long campaign to remove President Obama from office. The insanity that has gripped the party has grown in severity to include the ludicrous notion that Obama wants to impeach himself. GOP House Speaker John Boehner joined the charade by holding a press\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Election&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Election","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=152"},"img":{"alt_text":"Mars Impeaches","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/impeach-mars.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/impeach-mars.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/impeach-mars.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1062,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=1062","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":1},"title":"Rupert Murdoch: True To Form","author":"Mark NC","date":"9\/20\/2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Last May News Corp CEO Rupert Murdoch attended the All Things Digital Conference and made a few headlines with his commentary on the presidential election: \"[Murdoch] on Wednesday predicted a Democratic landslide in the U.S. presidential election against a gloomy economic backdrop over the next 18 months.\" That sort of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;General&quot;","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=1"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":33303,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=33303","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":2},"title":"CONFIRMED: Russia WAS Helping Donald Trump To Win The Election After All","author":"Mark NC","date":"12\/10\/2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Charges that Russia played a role in tampering with the just concluded U.S. election have been floating around for months. Insiders have revealed some of the covert actions with disturbing specificity. However, official government channels have been reluctant to make these charges formal. Until now. The Washington Post just published\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Election&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Election","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=152"},"img":{"alt_text":"Donald Trump Vladimir Putin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/trump-putin.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/trump-putin.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/trump-putin.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":930,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=930","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":3},"title":"Rupert Murdoch Predicts Obama Landslide","author":"Mark NC","date":"5\/29\/2008","format":false,"excerpt":"This week's All Things Digital Conference brought Rupert Murdoch to the stage for a surprising interview that included his views on the economy, Barack Obama, and the 2008 election. Reuters: \"News Corp Chief Executive Rupert Murdoch on Wednesday predicted a Democratic landslide in the U.S. presidential election against a gloomy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;General&quot;","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=1"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":21661,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=21661","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":4},"title":"What\u2019s Wrong With America? Why Is Anyone Voting Republican?","author":"Mark NC","date":"10\/31\/2014","format":false,"excerpt":"A new poll from Fox News affirms what virtually every other poll has found when people are asked to name the most important problem facing the country. And as James Carville noted long ago, \"It's the economy, stupid.\" The Fox poll had an overwhelming 43% of registered voters citing the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Election&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Election","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=152"},"img":{"alt_text":"Economic Poll","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/economy-booming.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/economy-booming.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/..\/Pix\/Trump\/economy-booming.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1077,"url":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?p=1077","url_meta":{"origin":1117,"position":5},"title":"John McCain&#8217;s Smear Campaign","author":"Mark NC","date":"10\/4\/2008","format":false,"excerpt":"As John McCain's prospects for election diminish, the incidence of dirty tricks and nasty campaigning are likely to increase. Almost every event and news story in the past couple of weeks has resulted in voters trending more to Barack Obama. Polls show Obama gaining support after the conventions, after the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Election&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Election","link":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/?cat=152"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1117"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1117\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newscorpse.com\/ncWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}